Weekly Fantasy Football Picks – Week Five

Quarterbacks

  • Philip Rivers – Was every Saint formerly a Charger and every Charger formerly a Saint?  Well, no.  Remember, Brees was the Chargers QB before Rivers was drafted to be the future of the franchise.  Last year, it would have been laughable to think that move worked out long-term.  Tonight in the Big Easy, it may not be so laughable.  I’ll take the value tonight and go with Rivers.  I think both QB’s have a good game.  Take the over in this one.

Running Backs

  • Ray Rice – He is 13th in the NFL in rushing.  He will not finish the season so low.  Games like today is where he gets back to where he is supposed to be near the top.  Plus, everyone is now talking about Flacco.  When everyone is talking about something, it’s the other thing.  Be a contrarian.
  • Adrian Peterson – Ten run D sucks.  Peterson is pretty good.  No more than that.  If you need some value in your daily fantasy football picks, look to Bradshaw on the Giants.

Wide Receivers

  • Jordy Nelson – Even though Indy pass D is pretty good, they are down a few guys on the defensive unit.  Jennings is hurt, so Nelson, who has been improving week to week, is the guy.
  • Julio Jones –  Everyone is talking Roddy White.  Redskins pass D is horrible.  For my way of thinking, that means Julio Jones makes a great pick.

Tight End

  • Dennis Pitta

Kicker

  • Garrett Hartley 

Defense

  • Bears

ValueTown

  • BOBBY MEACHEM – How pissed must he be that he couldn’t get paid in the Big Easy?  How much does he have to prove today?

Pick of the Day

  • Ray Rice.  Costs a lot.  Worth the price today.

Weekly Fantasy Football – Picks for September 23, 2012

Quarterbacks

  • Andy Dalton – The Redskins D is beat up – badly beat up.  Dalton is a young QB ready to accel.  Dalton has passed for 221, then 318 yards, in his first two weeks.  He has some good young receivers, and a running back that can take a little of the pressure off.  I’m going with Dalton, AJ Green, and I’m all over the over in what should be a high scoring affair.

Running Backs

  • Michael Bush
  • DeMarco Murray

Wide Receivers

  • Dez Bryant
  • AJ Green 

Kicker

  • Who Cares – While this isn’t completely true, and I like to “predict” kickers as much as the next guy, predicting kickers is a tough business and virtually impossible.  At this point, I just go with the team I think will score the most points.  Some weekly fantasy football decisions can be researched and an educated decision can be reached.  Kickers isn’t really one of them.  There’s a lot of luck involved.

Defense

  • 49ers – I think the niners will be who they are supposed to be on the road at Minnesota today.  I like them to put up 15 points.

ValueTown

  • Bush
  • AJ Green

Pick of the Day

  • Andy Dalton to AJ Green.  Everyday and twice on this Sunday.

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Week Two Daily Fantasy Football Picks

Quarterbacks

  • Drew Brees – Unlike last week, there are not a lot of good, cheap options at quarterback this week.  Brees wasn’t horrible last week, and he and the Saints have a lot to prove at this point.  Last time Brees faced the Panthers – January 1 of this calendar year – he threw for 389 yards and 5 touchdowns.  Anything similar to that today makes him a lock for the best starting fantasy football quarterback of the week.

Running Backs

  • CJ Spiller – I have a feeling he will be a popular pick in weekly/daily fantasy football this week.  He went off for more than 150 yards last week after Fred Jackson got hurt early.  He was the number 9 overall pick in 2010.  He was always supposed to be good.  This is his breakout year!  The Chiefs-Bills game has the making of a high scoring one and I think Spiller contributes to the points.  He is also a resident of valuetown, at least for another few weeks.
  • Adrian Peterson – I kind of thought I’d never pick Peterson as a top start in 2012 and I’d pick Gerhart a couple of times.  Wow how one week can change things.  The Colts do not defend the run very well and Peterson looks ready to excel.  I don’t like other high priced RB’s this week, opting instead for Peterson.

Wide Receivers

  • Reggie Wayne – A few years ago, Wayne as the number one wide out would be expected from week to week.  This year, having the most receiving yards is anything but expected, but it’s exactly what came last week.  And I think it might be the start of a revitalization year.  He needs to resurrect a career and Andrew Luck needs to begin one.  I think Wayne has another good performance in week two.
  • Brandon Gibson –  We need another resident for valuetown, and Gibson is it.  He was a favorite target for Sam Bradford last week and I’m looking for the trend to continue against the Skins this week.

Tight End

  • Jimmy Graham – If you believe in the Brees story this week, you have to believe in the Graham story.  He is a Brees favorite.  Expect he catches at least six balls, even with some double coverage and defensive help in the middle.  In the Saint Panthers game from the 2011 season described above, Graham caught 8 balls for 97 yards and a TD.

Kicker

  • Garrett Hartley – A hyperpowerful offense and an awesome defense will make for a number of field goal tries.  The packers will move the ball through the air pretty well but will have a tough time getting the ball in the end zone.  I like Crosby to start off the 2012 campaign with a bang.

Defense

  • Patriots – I like the Pats at home against AZ.  Their defense is a top five unti for sure.  One of the usual problems with the Pats D doesn’t apply today.  They will likely not run up the score, because the Cardinals defense isn’t terrible themselves.  I’m looking for a 34-10 game with a couple AZ turnovers.

ValueTown

  • Spiller
  • Gibson

Pick of the Day

  • At the risk of being a week late, I’m taking AP as my pick of the week.

Week One Daily Fantasy Football Picks

Quarterbacks

  • Jay Cutler – He is a monster in week one performances.  Since 2007, he has thrown for 300 yards every opener except one.  He plays a week defense, Indianapolis, and he has a lot to prove if he is to actually make the leap to being a great quarterback.  Couple that with a healthy Forte and new addition Brandon Marshall and I like strong numbers from Cutler today.  Don’t forget, Marshall was a top target for Cutler when the two played in Denver.  Expect good things.  And Cutler is a great value most places.
  • Tom Brady – If you insist on spending money on your quarterback, go with Brady over the other big guys.  His matchup – at Tennessee – is better than Aaron Rogers facing the top tier SF defense or Brees facing the Skins.  But I’d stick with Cutler and the value.

Running Backs

  • Shonn Greene – I think he’s one of the underrated stories coming into this year.  He is set to see a ton of carries.  He was highly touted and a lot was expected.  Maybe it hasn’t been delivered on, and maybe it’s the system.  It all changes this year.  And this year starts today.  Buffalo was 28th against the run last year.  Greene has a good history against the division rival.  Like Cutler, Greene is a resident of valuetown.
  • LeSean McCoy – If you want to spend the money somewhere, spend it here.  Vick stays clean and healthy.  That means lots of carries for McCoy!

Wide Receivers

  • Calvin Johnson – Continue spending your daily fantasy football budget here with Megatron.  He’s essentially the most likely receiver to get you 100 yards.  He more than justifies the price.
  • Brandon Marshall –  Read my Cutler story above.

Tight End

  • Brent Celek – In looking for even more value at the tight end spot, I settled on Brent Celek.  Vick, playing for the money, should be back in a big way this year.  Celek has always been one of his favoriate targets.  Vick needs to stay healthy.  That means a lot of quick passes, right up the tight end’s alley.  The Browns were mediocre against TE’s last year.

Kicker

  • Mason Crosby – A hyperpowerful offense and an awesome defense will make for a number of field goal tries.  The packers will move the ball through the air pretty well but will have a tough time getting the ball in the end zone.  I like Crosby to start off the 2012 campaign with a bang.

Defense

  • The Texans or the Bears – I like all of the teams facing rookie quarterbacks. I like the Texans and the Colts more than the rest.  Miami doesn’t have a particularly balanced attack, nor do the Colts.  Moreover, often, the best defense is a good offense.  The Bears and Texans will each control the game well.

ValueTown

  • Cutler
  • Greene
  • Celek

Pick of the Day

  • Jay Cutler to Brandon Marshall

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